Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 5.001639 5.518325 6.069015 6.700270 7.404671 8.167410 9.057058
2025-12-28 4.227381 4.953632 5.780327 6.793841 8.006769 9.416476 11.185892
2026-01-04 3.674606 4.528059 5.554760 6.887501 8.581414 10.675230 13.479022
2026-01-11 3.223927 4.145780 5.308226 6.893245 9.016007 11.785785 15.714316
2026-01-18 2.844408 3.794254 5.041665 6.816958 9.306344 12.714029 17.802835
2026-01-25 2.532416 3.488242 4.789153 6.712188 9.521672 13.537137 19.820887
2026-02-01 2.275292 3.224947 4.559388 6.600516 9.695479 14.296697 21.814159
2026-02-08 2.059241 2.994976 4.348404 6.483976 9.834378 14.999715 23.783917
2026-02-15 1.894444 2.822092 4.200428 6.439616 10.067203 15.855980 26.084643
2026-02-22 1.795707 2.737858 4.174857 6.576811 10.592867 17.223741 29.395907
2026-03-01 1.669800 2.599179 4.050263 6.538683 10.819696 18.110420 31.969296
2026-03-08 1.530622 2.427102 3.856503 6.364958 10.793316 18.550568 33.775228
2026-03-15 1.427778 2.307893 3.742104 6.320292 10.996538 19.434742 36.566298
2026-03-22 1.371595 2.261452 3.744608 6.478332 11.578822 21.074009 41.054351
2026-03-29 1.314214 2.207992 3.729992 6.603226 12.111551 22.679404 45.704803
2026-04-05 1.245565 2.129248 3.664173 6.626823 12.452107 23.947693 49.830112
2026-04-12 1.169985 2.032220 3.557524 6.562748 12.612472 24.869833 53.332379
2026-04-19 1.096727 1.933779 3.440265 6.466690 12.696808 25.641088 56.601981
2026-04-26 1.028722 1.839948 3.324120 6.361678 12.750344 26.349760 59.824822
2026-05-03 0.965759 1.751007 3.210359 6.250838 12.779049 27.004832 63.011671
2026-05-10 0.916325 1.684175 3.133823 6.208761 12.950095 27.993460 67.167587
2026-05-17 0.890769 1.661338 3.140945 6.340809 13.516355 29.948020 74.089380
2026-05-24 0.848238 1.602328 3.071852 6.304320 13.698519 31.022046 78.863156